Malthus and #Collcons: Population v. Technology

I remember very little from my senior year of high school. I remember even less from AP Environmental Science, first period (when I showed up).

Just one story sticks in my mind. I’ll set the scene for you.

The year is 1798. America is barely a generation old, and madness reigns in a French Republic soaked in blood. Forget Facebook’s IPO; the big news in technology is the invention of Eli Whitney’s cotton gin.

An English Reverend broods over the future of mankind from the storied halls of Oxford. He sees two lines, both arcing ever upward without pause. One tracks human population, and the other the earth’s ability to provide the resources necessary to sustain this unchecked growth. He comes to a determination: the latter simply cannot keep pace with the former.

From Thomas Malthus’s An Essay on the Principle of Population:

Must it not then be acknowledged by an attentive examiner of the histories of mankind, that in every age and in every State in which man has existed, or does now exist
That the increase of population is necessarily limited by the means of subsistence,
That population does invariably increase when the means of subsistence increase, and,
That the superior power of population is repressed, and the actual population kept equal to the means of subsistence, by misery and vice.

A “population kept equal to the means of subsistence, by misery and vice”; does this sound like a world in which you want to live? So there you have it: a never-ending struggle between population and resources. Note that the first is variable; the second is inevitably fixed.

Economists predicted that this conflict would come to a head in the 1960s, with the US Baby Boom and the explosion of population across Europe’s former colonies; it was avoided only by the Green Revolution’s rapid advancement of genetically modified crops and nitrogen-based fertilizer. Just barely, technology staved off starvation.

Fast forward to 2012, and we face a similar precipice. Global warming is a reality, the Gulf Coast is soaked in oil, and our “build build build” economic model is clearly broken.

It’s not all gloom and doom, however; once again, technology could offer a temporary reprieve. Easy connectivity via the Internet (specifically mobile, it would seem) enables Collaborative Consumption platforms, and the spread of the Sharing Economy. The potential for the efficient utilization of resources is simply enormous, and currently not quantified.

If ridesharing is the norm, instead of the exception, perhaps electric vehicles become an economic reality? If access over ownership is the norm, instead of the exception, perhaps we can find satisfaction with what we need, rather than what we want?

I’m hopeful. It’s a new frontier. Will we embrace it in time?

Thoughts on Minimalism and Collaborative Consumption

Every once in a while, I like to take a sabbatical from things. These self-imposed bouts of minimalism have shaped my relationship with items. A teenage summer adventure riding the Greyhound and hitchhiking through the Western United States and Canada, punctuated by a 230 mile, 20 day backpack through the Sierra Nevada mountains of California. A winter spent pedaling a touring bicycle up and down the rolling hills of New Zealand, cooking and camping gear, clothing and other essentials jammed into four backpack-sized panniers.

Shrinking your life inventory to carry-on size and transporting it under your own power will give you a new perspective on what’s needed and what’s not.

Then I come home. On the American scale of consumption, I’m pretty middle of the road. Apart from a couple of big-ticket items (pickup truck, motorcycle) and a pretty stacked collection of sports gear, I live a pretty simple existence. My auto-recurring Amazon Prime membership goes to waste: my only order since moving to San Francisco was for a pack of black socks and a cassette of Mach 3 razors. The guys at work make fun of my wardrobe repeats, the function of a limited closet; if I ever need a suit for work, I’ll have to go all meta on you and rent it through Rentcycle. I live in a bare room in an otherwise furnished apartment; girls are generally unimpressed when they see that I sleep on an Aerobed, which sits next to a nightstand I found on the corner of Page and Brodrick.

I credit the experiences above for informing my relationship with items. I look around, though, and realize that this “less is more” approach won’t work for everyone. We’ve been painted an illusory picture, where the average American thinks he or she can purchase his or her way to happiness. It’s bullshit, but what we’re left with after one hundred years of clever marketing (Happy Meals!), planned obsolecense (iPhone 4, iPhone 4S), and cheap credit (McMansion Expansion).

As a concept, minimalism is awesome. In practice, I don’t think it can affect change on the scale needed to save a rapidly warming world that’s running out of space for more landfills. What has been giveth, cannot so easily be taketh away.Do you want to be the one to explain to Joe from Muncie, Indiana that nirvana is to be found in cleansing himself of the items he’s worked his whole life to accumulate?

Now contrast that conversation with introducing Joe to the possibilities of Collaborative Consumption. A Tesla electric sports car shared via Getaround. Paintings borrowed from Artsicle. A power washer rented through Rentcycle. Now you’re talking about giving Joe more, rather than taking anything away.

I’m damn proud to say that, through my work at Rentcycle, I stand at the forefront of the Access Economy. I’ve invested time, money, and passion into making Collaborative Consumption the basis of the 21st century economy, so I’ll just come out and say it: I don’t want minimalism to be a part of that conversation. For this thing to work, I believe the focus needs to be on offering people more, rather than demanding that they live with less. For true, widespread adoption, the core message cannot be one of sacrifice.

Collaborative Consumption: The Answer for Occupy?

Across America and around the world, the self-proclaimed 99% occupy parks and civic centers, facing the uncertain prospect of a forced eviction that could come at any moment. Whatever your politics, it’s difficult to remain impartial as videos of pepper-sprayings proliferate on YouTube, and the New York Times publishes a former Poet Laureate’s account of his wife’s beating at the baton of a Berkeley police officer. What the hell is happening here?

I respect these people’s courage, but I’m somewhat discouraged by the movement, taken on the whole. MLK was hell-bent equal rights for African-Americans; Gandhi was determined to banish the British from the continent; Mandela fought to force the integration of a country and the end of Apartheid. These movements gave us powerful moments in history: the end of Jim Crow, lynchings, and school integration; a bloody but history-altering Partition; a black man taking the oath at a swearing-in ceremony that would have been unthinkable a decade earlier.

What would this moment look like for Occupy? A headline announcing the financially unsustainable capping of Wall Street salaries? Economically unviable legislation giving underwater homeowners temporary respite from their creditors? These would be less a revolution than an ill-advised band-aid on a broken-down system.

With the 99%er’s intense fixation on the 1%, they fail to realize that destiny lies in their own hands. Technology and the continuing rise of sophisticated collaborative consumption models empowers “the rest of us” to transact almost exclusively with each other, removing the corporation as middle man and barrier. I believe the 99% can reach that perfect equilibrium (and a considerably more even playing field) by embracing these new platforms.

After all, why fight ‘em if you can just forget ‘em?

ProFounder and Kickstarter to take the place of overbearing Venture Capitalists and obscene bank rates.

Skillshare to take the place of a Higher Ed. system with tuition that has increased 400% since 1985, blowing inflation out of the water.

AirBnB to take the place of a massively inefficient hotel system, run by a few major chains and plagued by empty paved no-man’s lands aside interstates across the United States.

The list goes on, with a common theme: there are options, whether they’ve been built yet or not. Given everything I’ve read and seen over the past year, I can’t help but think that these two movements are reaching their respective climaxes simultaneously for a reason. The real question: how to get the message to the folks in Zuccotti Park.

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